Crypto crash over
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In the meantime, the values of cryptos kept plummeting, with fewer people investing in crypto trading. A combination of these headwinds is likely to have caused the crypto crash in , broken down as follows: The presence of inflation Many people may have expected cryptocurrencies to remain stable and act as a hedge against inflation, just like gold and other precious metals had done so in the past.
According to the data published by the U. Labor Department, the annual US inflation rate has been moving between 8. The rising inflation affected the prices of everything from cars and plane tickets to groceries and gasoline. This might have led people to pull their money out of some investments, including cryptocurrencies. This trend could be one of the major contributors to the months-long surge witnessed in the crypto market up to late The volatility of speculative assets Many holders of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum see them as alternative investing options to investing in the stock market.
This emerging trend could point to people beginning to see cryptocurrencies as high-risk, high-reward assets that somehow may not be suitable investments, especially in times of instability and upheaval caused by global geopolitics and wars.
The Russia-Ukraine war The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine is likely to have affected the price of cryptocurrencies negatively. Speculative assets such as cryptocurrencies are often more vulnerable, especially if something happens that violently shakes the global economy. With this in mind, many investors could be weighing the situation in Eastern Europe and the world at large before they can put their money in such avenues.
Understanding a bear market A bear market can be seen as an eye-opener by some investors because it flushes out malinvestment across different asset classes. For instance, during the dot-com crash witnessed in the s, several internet-based companies closed businesses.
Similarly, during the cryptocurrency boom in , many tokens were launched and traded on various crypto exchanges , only to realize that many of such projects lacked utility and long-term plans for sustainability. The crypto market crash caused many such unprofitable projects to close business while legitimate projects and businesses carried through the storm. A similar situation was replicated in , as projects that could not withstand the storm, such as the ones mentioned above had to whittle down.
When choosing investments, investors should research the projects thoroughly and get to know their objectives, including: What problems are they trying to solve, and how? Who else is competing in the space? What work has already been done? Has it lived through a bear market and survived? What can you learn about the people involved?
In essence, investing in speculative assets should be informed by the fundamentals and long-term conviction of the projects instead of emotions, mainstream, or social media hype. However, there are potential risks of buying crypto in a bear market. In such times, many people would take unmeasured risks.
Oftentimes, newcomers enter the market at such times out of FOMO, which may drive them to invest in projects that may not be sustainable. Importantly, before investing in a bear market, people need to ask themselves what amount of money they can actually afford to lose, as any investment comes with inherent risk.
On the other hand, bear markets can provide potential opportunities for investors who target the long run, as most assets trade at a fraction of their actual values. How to invest during a recession While investors can lose money in a bear market, the situation presents a unique opportunity to take advantage of unrealized losses. This practice can be profitable if and when the prices come back to their previous or new highs.
Using indicators to identify the best entry point This method mainly applies to traders and investors with a basic or advanced understanding of technical analysis. They can predict the price of an asset, and analyze indicators and chart patterns to help them determine when an asset has reached a bottom.
While no indicator is completely foolproof, they can provide a strong signal when to buy a dip, especially when using the Relative Strength Index RSI indicator. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that comprises a channel and a line that moves in and out of it. The RSI embraces two key elements: Overbought: This situation occurs when the indicator line breaks out above the channel. In other words, the asset is considered overvalued and its price is likely to fall back down soon.
Oversold: This situation happens when the indicator line breaks out below the channel. These two signals can help users determine which assets to invest in during a bear market. Investors can hedge their bets by using DCA spread in smaller portions across different crypto assets. This is likely to help reduce their overall risk. Investors should consider areas like rebranding, a new partnership, or a mainnet launch. Avoiding panic This might look obvious, but managing emotions during a bear market is often not easy for many people.
Too little volatility is just as problematic for markets as too much, we uncertainty in excess can create panic and problems of liquidity. This was evident during Black Swan events or other crisis that have historically roiled currency and equity markets. In finance, volatility refers to the amount of change in the rate of a financial instrument, such as commodities, currencies, stocks, over a given time period.
Read this Term and so many unforeseen variables. Of course, such moves in the crypto market are nothing new, especially for investors who have braved the elements of the run up and subsequent crash. Ultimately a drop in demand and an over-hyped push from the outside market caused the decline in May, much as was seen in several drops during and Put another way, there are more advanced solutions and better serving coins out there, compared to BTC as of late as well with Ethereum being a perfect example.
Ultimately, nobody really knows what the next move with BTC with the current price action having to play out with risk sentiment continuing to be a factor. Volatility is always expected in crypto or for any new emerging technology or asset class. It is important to also pay attention to the adoption rate of the networks.
For example, if the participants in the network keep growing over time, the value of the network rises. This could be a key factor for many other cryptos moving forward in the short- and long-term. By this metric, BTC and cryptos have the fastest growing adoption rate of any technology in recent years. From a monetary perspective, BTC or other cryptos are also a natural hedge against a never-before-seen expansion of US dollar money supply. Many have seen BTC replace gold in terms of inflation hedges with institutions buying BTC at rates never higher than ever before.
This could represent a tailwind that speaks to a long-term bullishness on BTC, though is too early to tell. Obviously, a continued course or status quo by the US Federal Reserve would also need to hold steady for this trend to continue. If there are no periods of sharp drops of percent over several days, there can be no periods of rapid growth of percent over a short time as well.
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